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RethinkingtheChinaThreat
2007-7-16 21:31:32 来源:来源不详 阅读:

  Therisingeconomicpowerhousehasn'tproducedconsumer-electronicsoutfitsthatcantrulycompetewithmultinationalgiants

  EverybodyknowsthatChinaistheworld'snexteconomicsuperpower.Eachyear,itgetsbillionsandbillionsofdollarsinforeigninvestment,poweringitsboomingeconomy.TheMiddleKingdomhasmorecell-phoneusersthananywhereelseontheplanet,andsoonitwillbetopsamongNetsurfers,too.Americanconsumerscan'tgetenoughofthelow-costTVs,DVDplayers,mobilephones,computers,andothergizmosthatcomeoutofChina'sfactories.

  ForbelieversintheChina-risingstory,thelatestsignofascendancewastheDecemberannouncementthatIBM(IBM),oneofthemostvenerablenamesinU.S.industry,wassellingitsPCdivisiontoLenovo(LNVGY),theNo.1PCmakerinChina.LenovoisownedinpartbytheChinesegovernment.

  AHAS-BEEN?AllthehypeabouttheLenovo-IBMdealandChina'smightobscuresoneproblem:Foracountrythat'sabouttobecomesuchapowerfulthreattotheU.S.,Chinahasatoughtimeproducingworld-classcompaniesthatcancompetewiththelikesofAmerica'sDell(DELL)andHewlett-Packard(HPQ),orJapan'sSony(SNE)orAsia'sSamsung.Sure,ChinahasHuaweiTechnologiesandZTE,bothofthemgrowingprovidersoflow-cost,high-qualitynetworkingequipment.Butwhenitcomestoconsumerelectronics,Chineseoutfitsjustaren'tinthesameballpark.

  OnemightthinkthattheprospectofLenovo,thetopcomputermakerintheworld'sfastest-growingeconomy,vaultingtotheNo.3spotintermsofworldwideproduction-behindonlyDellandHP-wouldgetinvestorsexcited.Buttheirreactionhasbeenunderwhelming.Lenovo'sshares,tradedontheHongKongstockexchange,areoffsome13sincetheoutfitunveileditsIBMplans.Forallof2004,Lenovostockplunged34,comparedtoan11riseforthebenchmarkHangSengindex.

  Whytheskepticism?ManyinvestorsseemtothinkLenovo'sgreatestsuccessmaybebehindit.Yes,it'sstronginChina,theargumentgoes,butthat'spartlyduetoitsgovernmentbacking.FactorinLenovo'shome-teamadvantage,andyouhaveaprettygoodexplanationforitsleadingroleintheChinesemarket.

  HITTINGTHEEXITS.Sofar,LenovohasbeenunabletomakemuchheadwaysellingitscomputersoutsideChina,thustheappealofIBM'sPCbusiness-whichoflatehasbeenamoneyloserforBigBlue.IBMrevealedinrecentfilingstotheU.S.SecuritiesExchangeCommissioninlateDecemberthatthePCdivisionlostjustshyof
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